Directed monitoring using Cuscore charts for seasonal time series

نویسندگان

  • Harriet Black Nembhard
  • Pannapa Changpetch
چکیده

The most commonly used statistical process control charts to detect special causes are Shewhart and Cusum charts. However, the Cuscore chart is a contemporary alternative that is especially well suited for detecting special causes that can be modeled in advance based on their characteristic effect on the system. In this paper, we develop the appropriate Cuscore statistic and the required control limits to detect a mean shift in a seasonal time series process. The work is motivated by an application involving blood platelet orders placed with the Red Cross. We also compare the performance of the Cuscore chart to the Cusum chart in this application and find that the performance of the Cuscore, in terms of time to signal the special cause, is better than the Cusum chart. We find that this result holds even when faced with the mismatch problem which pertains to the compatibility between the actual and expected information that the Cuscore statistic is predicated upon.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Autocorrelated Process Monitoring Using Triggered Cuscore Charts

Some of the most widely-investigated control charting techniques for autocorrelated data are based on time series residuals. If the mean shift in the autocorrelated process is a sudden step shift, the resulting mean shift in the residuals is time varying and has been referred to as the fault signature. Traditional residual based charts, such as a Shewhart, CUSUM, or EWMA on the residuals, do no...

متن کامل

Specific Signal Detection Charts Using Generalized Likelihood Ratios

Simulations are done to compare the performances of Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) and Cuscore charts for detecting specific signals hidden in noise. Two different types of signals are considered: a sine wave and a linear trend. Two different cases are analyzed, a known signal form and parameter and a known signal form but unknown signal parameter. Both the initial performances and steady-s...

متن کامل

Poisson regression charts for the monitoring of surveillance time series

This paper presents a Poisson control chart for monitoring time series of counts typically arising in the surveillance of infectious diseases. The in-control mean is assumed to be time-varying and linear on the log-scale with intercept and seasonal components. If a shift in the intercept occurs the system goes out-of-control. Novel is that the magnitude of the shift does not have to be specifie...

متن کامل

بکارگیری نمودارهای کنترل در پایش عملکرد مراقبت های اولیه ی بهداشتی

Background and Aim: Monitoring and evaluation are basic components of any health program. Control charts show clearly the process performance trend longitudinally and help managers and staff to detect general and specific variations and evaluate the process performance correctly. This study was conducted to design and utilize control charts in the primary health care (PHC) system. Materials an...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Quality and Reliability Eng. Int.

دوره 23  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2007